Monday, January 17, 2011

Guess Who's Back?

The Celtics are set to take on the Orlando Magic at 8:00 pm tonight in Boston, and are looking for revenge after suffering an embarrassing offensive showing and 86-78 defeat to the Magic on Christmas day. However, the major headline in this game is the expected return of starting power forward and defensive leader Kevin Garnett, who will be greatly needed on the floor tonight if Boston wants to hold Orlando's versatile and aggressive offense to a reasonable amount of points. Even though it may take him a quarter or two to get back into the swing of things, I expect KG to be a big difference maker in this one, especially on the defensive side of the ball. As for Boston's offense, don't expect them to get held under 80 points again like they did in December, because this time around the Celtics have Rajon Rondo. Last time these two teams faced, Rondo was injured and Nate Robinson filled in for him by scoring just 7 points and only 4 assists. Not to mention, he was shooting erratically and made just 1-7 attempts from three point range. While I do trust Nate's jump shot, which brings versatility to Boston's point guard position, I trust him much more as Rondo's backup and the point guard for Boston's second unit rather than the starting lineup. Nate's three pointers can do some serious damage to point guards who get too used to slacking off Rondo since he doesn't typically put up three's, but Robinson's shot selection can also do some serious damage to the Celtics when he is playing over 40 minutes a game like he did on Christmas.

With Rondo at the helm of the offense, and KG almost certainly returning tonight, the Celtics will be sporting a starting lineup of five all star players. Rondo won't be able to take over this game with his points since Orlando has one of the best shot blockers in the league down low in Dwight Howard, however he will be able to make a huge impact with his assists since everyone else in Boston's starting lineup has the potential to score 20-30 points on any given night. Orlando has a very solid defense, but no defense can truly stop Boston's offense since they can attack you from so many different angles. Look for Ray Allen and Paul Pierce to knock down some big threes, and for the Celtics to attack the paint if Dwight Howard rests or gets into foul trouble. Also look for Boston's second unit to put up some big points, since the leaders of the bench Glen Davis and Nate Robinson, will be reunited in the second unit, which makes their jump shots big weapons off the bench rather than Boston's main source of offense for majority of the game. I am excited to see how Boston's high powered offense looks against a tough defense like Orlando's, however no matter how well Boston's offense plays, their defense is going to need to come up big against the Magic's offense, which is almost as versatile and dangerous as Boston's.

Luckily KG is supposed to play tonight, which means that the defense should return to form, play very physical, and clamp down on opposing offenses the way they did before Garnett got hurt. Look for Garnett's presence to also result in better overall rebounding for the C's, more hustling, and more Tommy Points. These are all important so that the Celtics truly play their game against a tough Orlando team that is 8-2 in their last 10 games. Shaq is going to have to play very well against his younger nemesis, Dwight Howard, because even though I love Semih Erden and the energy he brings to the court, he is just not experienced enough to handle a guy as athletic, explosive, and dangerous as Howard. On Christmas the C's held Howard to just 6 points on 1-4 shooting from the field, but they cannot expect the same outcome tonight because the big guy has improved his offense dramatically from last season, and has a variety of nifty post moves to get to the hoop instead of only being able to dunk with authority like last year. Orlando's other starting big man Brandon Bass is underrated, but is just no match for Kevin Garnett. The guy rebounds well and is a great shooter for his size, but KG rebounds better and is a better shooter for his size. Hedo Turkoglu also typically comes up very clutch for the Magic when they play against the Celtics, and is a guy that can score from any angle whether he's shooting or driving to the hoop. Paul Pierce needs to shut Turkoglu down if the game gets close, or Hedo will make them pay.

The rest of Orlando's roster loves to put up three pointers, and I'm not exaggerating when I say the rest. The Celtics defense cannot just clog the paint and stop Dwight Howard if they want to win, because Orlando can kill you with the three ball, so Boston's defenders need to stick with their men no matter where they go. Hedo Turkoglu, Jason Richardson, Jameer Nelson, Gilbert Arenas, J.J. Reddick, and the list goes on for Orlando players who can drill three point shots, so the Celtics need to contest these shots and box out because the Magic will be putting up around 30 three pointers tonight, which means there will be the potential for 30 long rebounds. That means that everybody on the court needs to be alert if the ball comes their way, and everybody needs to play hard if they want to win. These are arguably the two best teams in the Eastern Conference, and this could very well be a preview of the Eastern Conference finals. Welcome back Kevin Garnett!

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